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Our Sugars
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White Refined Cane
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Raw Brown Cane
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White Refined Beet
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Sugar Facts
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What is Sugar?
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Cane vs. Beet Sugar
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World Consumption
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Brazilian Sugar
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Brazilian Sugar
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Brazilian sugarcane production for 2002/03 is estimated at 320 million tons, down 4 percent from the USDA's previous projection, due to weather related problems. The Center-South (CS) harvest is expected to be over in November, whereas the North-Northeast (NE)crushing season has just started. Total sugar production for 2002/03 has been revised downward from 22.75 million tons, raw value to reflect updated sugarcane availability. Brazil's 2002/03 sugar exports are projected at 13.1 million tons, raw value up 13 percent from 2001/02, reflecting higher availability of the product and the steady depreciation of local currency. As of July 1, 2003, the Brazilian Government set total alcohol content in gasoline at 25 percent. On September 27, the Brazilian Government requested consultation on European sugar subsidies at WTO.

Brazil's sugarcane production for marketing year 2002/03 (May-April) is projected at 320 million tons, down 4 percent compared to the previous estimate, especially due to a downward revision in the (CS) region projection. The CS is expected to contribute 270 million tons of sugarcane, down 12 million tons relative to the previous projection.

The estimate for area planted to sugarcane remains unchanged at 5.07 million hectares. Total area for harvest is projected at 4.81 million hectares. In spite of the good market prices for both sugar and alcohol, sugar-alcohol mills have been adjusting their finances rather than investing in new sugarcane areas.

The average Brazilian yield for sugarcane production is estimated at 66.5 tons per hectare, a 4 percent decrease compared to the previous figure as a result of the dry weather that prevailed during the April/May to August period. The dry weather has, in turn, supported good industrial yields and the updated projection for the 2002/03 industrial yield is 141.23 kg of total reducing sugars (TRS) per metric ton of sugarcane, up 2 percent from previous projection.

The 2002/03 TRS breakdown for sugar and alcohol production is estimated at 49.8 and 50.2 percent, respectively, similar to the 49.2 - 50.8 percent adjusted breakdown for 2001/02. Total TRS for the 2002/03 crop is projected at 45.19 million tons, up 4.19 million tons relative to 2001/02. The expected decrease in the sugarcane output has been partially offset by higher industrial yields.

Total Brazilian sugar production for 2002/03 is estimated at 22.75 million tons, raw value, slightly down from previous projection, but up 2.35 million tons from the revised production estimate for MY 2001/02 (20.4 million tons, raw value). The CS should account for 19.4 million tons of sugar, whereas the NNEE should account for the remaining 3.35 million tons. Total alcohol production for 2002/03 has been revised downward to 12.5 billion liters (7.05 billion liters of anhydrous alcohol and 5.45 billion liters of hydrated alcohol), down 0.5 billion liters from the previous forecast. The 2002/03 updated projection is, however, 1.03 billion higher than the final official figure for 2001/02 alcohol production, as reported by MAPA (6.48 billion liters of anhydrous alcohol and 4.99 billion liters of hydrated alcohol).

The 2002/03 projections indicate that most of the expected reduction in sugarcane production is likely to affect total alcohol output, vis-a-vis sugar production. Note that alcohol projections take into account the alcohol content in the gasoline-alcohol mixture, set at 24 percent from May 1 to June 30 and at 25 percent as of July 01, 2002, as determined by the Brazilian Government. Projections also take into account the projected increase in alcohol demand as a consequence of projected growth in the automobile fleet and alcohol exports. In addition, the significant difference between alcohol and gasoline retail prices in the domestic market has led many car owners to use a 50 percent hydrated alcohol and 50 percent gasoline blend ("rabo de galo"), thus increasing total alcohol demand. Alcohol stocks are likely to be notably low by the end of the marketing year despite the initial projection of rebuilding alcohol stocks.

In spite of the expected higher sugar supply, sugar prices in the domestic market have remained stable even during the peak of the crushing season. Sugar and alcohol prices are not balanced and sugar prices for the domestic market have an advantage over sugar for export prices and alcohol prices for the domestic market. Alcohol prices are somewhat depressed and the market should correct the price distortion in the short term. According to a study conducted by Datagrow, a consulting company working in the sugar-alcohol business, prices by the end of August were R 22,46 per 50 kg of sugar for the domestic market, R 565,00 per liter of anhydrous alcohol, and R 465,00 per liter of hydrated alcohol. Using sugar export prices (US$ 5.98 cents per pound at the end of August) as a basis for comparison results in the following price equivalence: US$ 6.46 for sugar for the domestic market; US$ 5.17 for anhydrous alcohol and US$ 4.59 for hydrated alcohol. The price equivalences indicated that sugar for the domestic market is clearly preferable (+8 percent compared to sugar export prices), followed by anhydrous alcohol (-13.5 percent) and hydrated alcohol (-23.2 percent).

Total Brazilian sugar exports for 2001/02 have been adjusted upward to 11.6 million tons, raw value, up 0.25 million tons to reflect updated information from the Brazilian Department of Foreign Trade (SECEX). Brazilian sugar for 2002/03 exports are revised downward to 13.1 million tons, raw value, a 3 percent decrease from previous figure, but up 13 percent relative to 2001/02 to reflect the new sugar production estimate as well as to balance sugar and alcohol demands in the domestic market. Contrary to market expectations, sugar prices in the international market did not drop sharply as a result of higher Brazilian export volumes. The steady depreciation of local currency, the Real, has contributed to increased exports.**
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**Information was taken from the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service's report entitled "Sugar: World Markets and Trade".
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May you know that JESUS IS THE PROMISED MESSIAH OF ISRAEL,
as written about in:

...The Messiah will come 483 years after the directive of the Persian Achaemenid King Artaxerxes' order that the Ancient Temple in Jerusalem be rebuilt:
Daniel 9:25, Read the original Hebrew

...The Messiah will be killed:
Daniel 9:26, Read the original Hebrew

...The Messiah will suffer and be put to death because of our sins:
Isaiah 52:13 - 53:12, Read the original Hebrew

...The Messiah's "going's forth" will be from Old, from Everlasting (GOD-Incarnate):
Micah 5:2, Read the original Hebrew

...The Messiah King will come unto Jerusalem, lowly, on a donkey - an ass, the foal of an ass:
Zechariah 9:9, Read the original Hebrew

...and Speaking of the Last Days about the Jews & Israel:
Zechariah 12:9 - 13:2, Read the original Hebrew

as well as many other places.


...with gratitude to the Almighty for everything.
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With gratitude to the Almighty for everything
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